Metals & Mining · NSE: HINDALCO
Hindalco Industries
Q2 FY27 earnings call · Guided by management
Call held 6 Nov 2026 · Read the filing on NSEFiling
- M.Cap
- ₹2,16,633Cr₹2.17L Cr
- P/E
- 11.3×
- 1Y return
- +21.35%
- From 52W high
- −18.0%
Highlights are read by AI from the company's filing and can contain mistakes. Check the source page linked to each line.
Share price
Results Q2 FY27, as filed · consolidated · ₹ Cr
| Q2 FY27 | Q2 FY26 | YoY | Q1 FY27 | QoQ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 91,708 | 66,058 | +38.8% | 84,825 | +8.1% |
| EBITDA | 12,814 | 8,966 | +42.9% | 13,932 | -8.0% |
| EBITDA margin | 14.0% | 13.6% | +40 bps | 16.4% | -245 bps |
| One-off items | 284 | -182 | — | -2,299 | — |
| PBTProfit before tax | 10,584 | 6,539 | +61.9% | 9,387 | +12.8% |
| Net profit | 7,532 | 4,741 | +58.9% | 7,013 | +7.4% |
| EPS (₹) | 33.85 | 21.32 | +58.8% | 31.51 | +7.4% |
From the company's own results filing on NSE. Net profit is the owners' share. Growth and the dotted lines are worked out from the filed figures.
Guidance
More figures from the call
“We think that it is about INR1,200 crore-INR1,300 crore in the next coming quarters, largely driven by sulfuric acid pricing, along with precious metal sales.”
“We are taking a high sulfuric acid, Indrajit. I mean, somewhere between INR 14,000 and 15,000 per ton. I think we are seeing that in Q3 and Q4.”
“What we are trying to do, Pinakin, is to stay on the consol net debt to EBITDA within two times that we have committed.”
“Novelis in Q4, we have said, will reach about 4x, and then over the next two years, they're going to go through a deleveraging cycle, ending up between 2.5x to 2.8x is the plan.”
“The India, which is now negative, once we get into our growth capex, it won't remain negative. It will become 1.0 to 1.5 times.”
“the external alumina sales, we sold 194 KT in Q2, and in Q3, we should sell in the similar range, 190-200 Kt”
In short
- 01Copper underlying quarterly EBITDA guided at about Rs 1,200-1,300 crore, led by sulfuric acid prices.
- 02Copper Q2 EBITDA of Rs 1,673 crore included about Rs 350-400 crore not seen as repeatable.
- 03Aluminium production cost seen up about 5% again in Q3, easing in Q4 as coal improves.
- 04Novelis long-term EBITDA per ton guidance of $600 kept; positive free cash flow targeted by end FY27.
- 05India capex about Rs 12,000-13,000 crore in FY27; next year substantially higher, figure due in February.
- 06Consolidated net debt to EBITDA to be kept around 2x; Novelis to reach about 4x in Q4.
- 07Aditya refinery and first 180 KT smelter line to commission in December 2027.
- 08Downstream aluminium EBITDA per ton expected to cross $300 as new products are qualified.
Capex
India: Capex this year around Rs 12,000 crore; next year substantially higher
Satish Pai · Managing Director · p. 11
India: Capex this year around Rs 12,000 crore; next year substantially higher
“This year will be around INR12,000 crores. Next year will be substantially higher, which I'll give you the number with our February results when we have done our budgeting.”
India: India capex about Rs 6,000 crore in H1; Rs 12,000-13,000 crore expected for the year
Satish Pai · Managing Director · p. 15
India: India capex about Rs 6,000 crore in H1; Rs 12,000-13,000 crore expected for the year
“About INR6,000 crores. This year, I think our expectation is we would spend about INR12,000-13000 crores by the end of the year.”
Aluminium upstream: Upcoming smelter IRRs built on LME of about 2,600
Satish Pai · Managing Director · Q&A · p. 11
Aluminium upstream: Upcoming smelter IRRs built on LME of about 2,600
“I think we took about 2,600 we took.”
Coal mines: Bandha mine first coal expected in second half of next financial year
Satish Pai · Managing Director · Q&A · p. 9
Coal mines: Bandha mine first coal expected in second half of next financial year
“At Bandha, the first box cut has already happened. It is a high stripping ratio. First coal should start to come out towards the second half of the next financial year.”
Coal mines: Chakla mine coal expected by around the middle of next year
Satish Pai · Managing Director · Q&A · p. 9
Coal mines: Chakla mine coal expected by around the middle of next year
“Chakla, we are expecting still that we will be getting coal by sometime middle of next year.”
Capacity
Copper: Copper recycling expansion from 50 KT to 150 KT planned; one new project every 1.5 years
Satish Pai · Managing Director · Q&A · p. 8
Copper: Copper recycling expansion from 50 KT to 150 KT planned; one new project every 1.5 years
“And then, of course, we have downstream, further copper recycling expansion from 50 KT to 150 KT. It will be fair to say that every year and a half, we will be starting one more project.”
Aluminium downstream: Aditya FRP at 50% loading level
Satish Pai · Managing Director · Q&A · p. 17
Aluminium downstream: Aditya FRP at 50% loading level
“Aditya FRP is now at the 50% loading level.”
Aluminium downstream: Option to add 170 KT cold mill at Aditya on top of 600 KT
Satish Pai · Managing Director · Q&A · p. 14
Aluminium downstream: Option to add 170 KT cold mill at Aditya on top of 600 KT
“Look, in the downstream now, we still have the capability to add another cold mill in Aditya, by 170 KT. So on top of 600 KT, we can add 170KT of rolling capacity.”
Aluminium downstream: At 2 million tons aluminium, India downstream capacity would be about 1 million tons
Satish Pai · Managing Director · Q&A · p. 14
Aluminium downstream: At 2 million tons aluminium, India downstream capacity would be about 1 million tons
“If we get to two million tons of aluminium, we will get to about 1 million tons of downstream capacity in India.”
Renewable energy: Renewable portfolio set to reach 884 MW by FY27 exit, plus 125 MW RE-RTC
Satish Pai · Managing Director · p. 4
Renewable energy: Renewable portfolio set to reach 884 MW by FY27 exit, plus 125 MW RE-RTC
“By FY27 exit, our renewable energy portfolio is set to reach 884 megawatt. Complemented by 125 megawatt of RE-RTC capacity”
Segments
Copper: About 50% of copper EBITDA from copper, 50% from other; acid volume 300,000 tons a quarter
Satish Pai · Managing Director · Q&A · p. 9
Copper: About 50% of copper EBITDA from copper, 50% from other; acid volume 300,000 tons a quarter
“I think contribution, let's say that, it's like 50% comes from other stuff, 50% comes from copper, more or less. The volumes of sulfuric acid is around 300,000 tons a quarter.”
Copper: Roughly 40% to 50% of copper EBITDA from copper products
Satish Pai · Managing Director · Q&A · p. 15
Copper: Roughly 40% to 50% of copper EBITDA from copper products
“yeah, roughly 40% to 50% will come from copper products, the rest will come from sulfuric acid, precious metals, et cetera.”
Specialty alumina: Specialty alumina plan of about a million tons unchanged; white fused alumina launch soon
1million tonsSatish Pai · Managing Director · Q&A · p. 18
Specialty alumina: Specialty alumina plan of about a million tons unchanged; white fused alumina launch soon
1million tons“We are, of course, going to launch the white fused alumina project very soon. So, our plan to get to about a million tons of specialty alumina output is not changed.”
Copper: Copper EBITDA mix last quarter similar; varies with TC/RC levels
Satish Pai · Managing Director · p. 18
Copper: Copper EBITDA mix last quarter similar; varies with TC/RC levels
“Last quarter was at similar levels. I mean, you will have to go down to when TC/RCs were 15 – 17 cents per pound in the last year. So then the contribution from the copper side will go up.”
Demand
Novelis: Customer supply chains still weighing on Novelis shipments
Dev Ahuja · Chief Financial Officer · p. 10
Novelis: Customer supply chains still weighing on Novelis shipments
“right now, we are still facing some impact of our customer supply chains not having normalized, which are putting some negative colour on shipments for the time being.”
Novelis: Novelis shipments expected to pick up from Q4 of this fiscal
Dev Ahuja · Chief Financial Officer · p. 10
Novelis: Novelis shipments expected to pick up from Q4 of this fiscal
“But that is in the course of normalization, and the shipments momentum based on the underlying markets should pick up pretty well starting from Q4 of this fiscal.”
Aluminium: MJP premium about 270 in Q3; expected at $200-$250 in Q4
Satish Pai · Managing Director · p. 10
Aluminium: MJP premium about 270 in Q3; expected at $200-$250 in Q4
“I think Q3 MJP is already about 270-ish. I think that we expect MJP to be in that $200-$250 range in Q4.”
Aluminium: LME Week consensus sees LME next year at $2,600-$2,800
Satish Pai · Managing Director · p. 11
Aluminium: LME Week consensus sees LME next year at $2,600-$2,800
“then the LME Week, the consensus was, in some ways, the LME next year could be between $2,600 and $2,800.”
Aluminium: Global aluminium deficit of around 0.8 million tons expected for calendar 2026
Satish Pai · Managing Director · p. 5
Aluminium: Global aluminium deficit of around 0.8 million tons expected for calendar 2026
“Looking ahead, the global aluminium market is expected to remain in deficit through calendar year 2026. Current estimates point to a deficit of around 0.8 million tons, significantly higher than earlier expectations.”
Margins and costs
Aluminium: Q2 aluminium costs up about 5% over Q1, from coal and CP coke
Satish Pai · Managing Director · p. 9
Aluminium: Q2 aluminium costs up about 5% over Q1, from coal and CP coke
“Q2 costs were up roughly 5% above Q1. The cost up was two main factors, coal and CP coke prices.”
Aluminium: Northern coal not yet stabilised, keeping costs up into Q3
Satish Pai · Managing Director · Q&A · p. 9
Aluminium: Northern coal not yet stabilised, keeping costs up into Q3
“We expect Q2 to Q3 to also be around that 5% because the northern area, the coal is still not stabilized.”
Copper: Sulfuric acid realisation about Rs 16,000 a ton vs about Rs 7,000 a year ago
Satish Pai · Managing Director · Q&A · p. 9
Copper: Sulfuric acid realisation about Rs 16,000 a ton vs about Rs 7,000 a year ago
“See right now I think we are running at roughly INR16,000 a ton. Last year, at the same quarter, it was around INR7,000 a ton.”
Copper: Selling cathodes at current TC/RC would lose money, says management
Satish Pai · Managing Director · Q&A · p. 15
Copper: Selling cathodes at current TC/RC would lose money, says management
“That is why if I was selling cathodes, I would been losing money.”
Aluminium upstream: Upstream EBITDA per ton helped by export premiums and value-added products
Satish Pai · Managing Director · Q&A · p. 12
Aluminium upstream: Upstream EBITDA per ton helped by export premiums and value-added products
“We realized a higher net premium, one, because of the exports that we were doing, which went to high-premium countries, not MJP countries.”
Debt and working capital
Novelis: Novelis expected to return to positive free cash flow and start deleveraging by end FY27
Satish Pai · Managing Director · p. 7
Novelis: Novelis expected to return to positive free cash flow and start deleveraging by end FY27
“We are confident that the strength of the business supported by cost restructuring will drive a return to positive free cash flow and mark the beginning of our deleveraging journey by the end of FY27.”
Consolidated net debt to EBITDA at 1.80 times as of September 2026
Satish Pai · Managing Director · p. 7
Consolidated net debt to EBITDA at 1.80 times as of September 2026
“Importantly, we continue to maintain a strong balance sheet with consolidated net debt to EBITDA at 1.80 times as of September 2026”
India: India treasury of Rs 16,000 crore
Satish Pai · Managing Director · Q&A · p. 15
India: India treasury of Rs 16,000 crore
“INR16,000 crores. We are sitting with treasury of INR16,000 crores.”
India: India long-term loans about Rs 6,000-7,000 crore
Satish Pai · Managing Director · Q&A · p. 16
India: India long-term loans about Rs 6,000-7,000 crore
“Yes, because we have long-term loans of about INR6,000 crore-INR7,000 crore.”
India: India net debt to EBITDA at -0.35 times
Satish Pai · Managing Director · Q&A · p. 16
India: India net debt to EBITDA at -0.35 times
“That's only the India. That's why net debt to EBITDA is - 0.35 times in India.”
Acquisitions and new business
Specialty alumina: Seeking other partners and internal programme for tabular alumina after AluChem
Satish Pai · Managing Director · Q&A · p. 18
Specialty alumina: Seeking other partners and internal programme for tabular alumina after AluChem
“So, A, we are out looking for other people who can help us fast-track that, and B, we have our internal program to develop tabular alumina.”
One-offs
Novelis: Yeongju strike cost $20 million in Q2; similar impact expected in Q3, then over
Dev Ahuja · Chief Financial Officer · p. 10
Novelis: Yeongju strike cost $20 million in Q2; similar impact expected in Q3, then over
“On the Yeongju strike impact, we have told you that we have a $20 million impact in Q2, and you can broadly expect a similar impact in Q3, and after that, it is over.”
Novelis: Another $47 million of Novelis insurance recoveries expected in EBITDA by fiscal year end
Dev Ahuja · Chief Financial Officer · p. 10
Novelis: Another $47 million of Novelis insurance recoveries expected in EBITDA by fiscal year end
“Now, insurance recoveries, you can expect that we have another $47 million of insurance recoveries that will fall into EBITDA, and that should pretty much be by this fiscal year end.”
Aluminium: Q2 pot relining figure included some catch-up from Q1
Satish Pai · Managing Director · p. 11
Aluminium: Q2 pot relining figure included some catch-up from Q1
“In Q2, there was a little bit more additional catch-up of the Q1 as well, which is why the number was slightly higher.”
Copper: About Rs 350-400 crore of copper Q2 EBITDA not seen as repeatable
Satish Pai · Managing Director · Q&A · p. 12
Copper: About Rs 350-400 crore of copper Q2 EBITDA not seen as repeatable
“All that put together, there was about roughly INR350-INR400 crores, what we think is not on a sustainable basis repeatable.”
Copper: Copper one-offs came from slag sales, derivatives and extra precious metal sales
Satish Pai · Managing Director · Q&A · p. 12
Copper: Copper one-offs came from slag sales, derivatives and extra precious metal sales
“We had a certain amount of copper slag sales where our accruals and what we realized by selling was higher. There is a certain amount of derivative noise. There is a certain amount of precious metals extra sales.”
Risks
Novelis: Novelis tariff headwinds expected to fall to a marginal level by fourth quarter
Dev Ahuja · Chief Financial Officer · p. 10
Novelis: Novelis tariff headwinds expected to fall to a marginal level by fourth quarter
“right now, we have some headwinds from tariffs, but we are working with a clear plan, and by fourth quarter, tariffs would come down to a fairly marginal level.”
Aluminium: Rest of FY27 aluminium hedged 29% at $3,000/t; currency 21% at Rs 93/$
Satish Pai · Managing Director · p. 6
Aluminium: Rest of FY27 aluminium hedged 29% at $3,000/t; currency 21% at Rs 93/$
“Our hedging position in aluminium for the rest of FY27 stands at around 29% on the commodity at $3,000 per ton and 21% in the currency at INR93 per dollar.”
Aluminium: FY28 aluminium about 26% hedged at $3,168
Satish Pai · Managing Director · p. 10
Aluminium: FY28 aluminium about 26% hedged at $3,168
“If we now go into FY 2028, we are about 26% hedged at $3,168. That's our position.”
Copper: Copper concentrate tight, but long-term miner contracts secure supply
Satish Pai · Managing Director · p. 12
Copper: Copper concentrate tight, but long-term miner contracts secure supply
“But for people like us, we are now very comfortable because we have got large miners with which we have long-term contracts. So, we have no problem in getting the concentrate.”
Copper: Spot TC/RC negative at (-48) to (-58) cents per pound
Satish Pai · Managing Director · p. 6
Copper: Spot TC/RC negative at (-48) to (-58) cents per pound
“with spot TC/RC remaining at negative levels in the range of (-48) to (-58) cents per pound, and concentrate availability remaining constrained.”
Other
Aluminium: Pot relining capitalised: adds about Rs 130 crore to EBITDA and to depreciation
Satish Pai · Managing Director · p. 11
Aluminium: Pot relining capitalised: adds about Rs 130 crore to EBITDA and to depreciation
“The impact roughly adds about INR130 crores to the EBITDA line, and it adds INR130 crores to the depreciation line.”
Aluminium: Q2 was the first quarter with pot relining capitalised, lifting reported EBITDA
Satish Pai · Managing Director · Q&A · p. 13
Aluminium: Q2 was the first quarter with pot relining capitalised, lifting reported EBITDA
“No, so you are right. It looks better because this is the first quarter we did it.”
Copper: Copper Q2 EBITDA a record Rs 1,673 crore, up 164% year-on-year
Satish Pai · Managing Director · p. 7
Copper: Copper Q2 EBITDA a record Rs 1,673 crore, up 164% year-on-year
“Quarterly copper EBITDA reached a record INR1,673 crores, a significant 164% increase year-on-year, driven by strong operational performance, healthy domestic demand across segments despite elevated LME prices.”
Aluminium upstream: Upstream Q2 EBITDA Rs 7,009 crore, up 55%; EBITDA per ton $2,125
Satish Pai · Managing Director · p. 6
Aluminium upstream: Upstream Q2 EBITDA Rs 7,009 crore, up 55%; EBITDA per ton $2,125
“quarterly EBITDA stood at INR7,009 crores, up 55% year-on-year, backed by favorable macros and our strong performance across the value chain. This delivered an EBITDA per ton of $2,125 this quarter.”
Royalty of $11 million paid quarterly until Rs 225 crore cap
Satish Pai · Managing Director · Q&A · p. 14
Royalty of $11 million paid quarterly until Rs 225 crore cap
“Hindalco was also the same level, $11 million. Because we pay on a quarterly basis till we hit the cap of INR225 crores.”
Sources
- Earnings call transcript, Q2 FY27 Filed 12 Nov 2026 · 19 pages
Management's own statements, quoted from its NSE filings. This page was read by AI and can contain mistakes: check the source pages before relying on any figure. No forecast or opinion of ours. Not investment advice.

