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Metals & Mining · NSE: HINDALCO

Hindalco Industries

Price as of 12 Nov 2026
964.00+0.18%

Q2 FY27 earnings call · Guided by management

Call held 6 Nov 2026 · Read the filing on NSEFiling

₹1,200​CrUnderlying quarterly EBITDA · Copper · quarterlyPai · p. 7
5​%Cost of production change Q2 to Q3 · Aluminium · Q3Pai · Q&A · p. 9
600​USD/tonneEBITDA per ton · Novelis · long-termPai · p. 7
4​×Downstream EBITDA increase · Downstream · by FY 2030Pai · p. 7
M.Cap
₹2,16,633Cr₹2.17L Cr
P/E
11.3×
1Y return
+21.35%
From 52W high
−18.0%

Highlights are read by AI from the company's filing and can contain mistakes. Check the source page linked to each line.

Share price

Results Q2 FY27, as filed · consolidated · ₹ Cr

Q2 FY27Q2 FY26YoYQ1 FY27QoQ
Revenue91,70866,058+38.8%84,825+8.1%
EBITDA12,8148,966+42.9%13,932-8.0%
EBITDA margin14.0%13.6%+40 bps16.4%-245 bps
One-off items284-182—-2,299—
PBTProfit before tax10,5846,539+61.9%9,387+12.8%
Net profit7,5324,741+58.9%7,013+7.4%
EPS (₹)33.8521.32+58.8%31.51+7.4%

From the company's own results filing on NSE. Net profit is the owners' share. Growth and the dotted lines are worked out from the filed figures.

Guidance

EBITDA · CopperRs 1,200 CrCopper underlying quarterly EBITDA expected around Rs 1,200 crore on a normalized basis
EBITDA · Downstream · FY304 xGoal of fourfold increase in downstream EBITDA by FY 2030
EBITDA per unit · Novelis · long term600 USD/tonnekeptNovelis long-term EBITDA per ton guidance of $600 unchanged
EBITDA per unit · Aluminium downstream · H2 FY27300 USD/tonneReason given: new products being qualified at Aditya FRP
CapexRs 50,000 CrOver Rs 50,000 crore of India projects under execution; another Rs 50,000 crore under evaluation
Capex · FY27-FY31Rs 1,00,000 CrOver Rs 1 lakh crore of growth projects over the next five years
Capex · FY27Rs 20,000 CrAbout Rs 20,000 crore of the Rs 50,000 crore expected spent by end of this financial year
Capex · FY28500-600 USD millionNovelis capex next year back to about $500-600 million; consolidated capex may not rise much
CapexRs 20,719 CrCapex of Rs 20,719 crore in the period, up 83%
Capacity · FY28180 KT180 KT Aditya smelter first line to commission December 2027

More figures from the call

Copper · Guidance
₹1,200–1,300​CrQuarterly EBITDA · next coming quarters
“We think that it is about INR1,200 crore-INR1,300 crore in the next coming quarters, largely driven by sulfuric acid pricing, along with precious metal sales.”
Satish Pai · Managing Director · Q&Ap. 9
Copper · Guidance
₹14,000–15,000​/tonneSulfuric acid price assumed · Q3 and Q4
“We are taking a high sulfuric acid, Indrajit. I mean, somewhere between INR 14,000 and 15,000 per ton. I think we are seeing that in Q3 and Q4.”
Satish Pai · Managing Director · Q&Ap. 13
Company · Guidance
2​×Consolidated net debt to EBITDA
“What we are trying to do, Pinakin, is to stay on the consol net debt to EBITDA within two times that we have committed.”
Satish Pai · Managing Directorp. 8
Novelis · Guidance
2.5–2.8​×Net debt to EBITDA · over the next two years
“Novelis in Q4, we have said, will reach about 4x, and then over the next two years, they're going to go through a deleveraging cycle, ending up between 2.5x to 2.8x is the plan.”
Satish Pai · Managing Directorp. 11
India · Guidance
1–1.5​×Net debt to EBITDA
“The India, which is now negative, once we get into our growth capex, it won't remain negative. It will become 1.0 to 1.5 times.”
Satish Pai · Managing Directorp. 11
Alumina · Guidance
190–200​KTExternal alumina sales · Q3
“the external alumina sales, we sold 194 KT in Q2, and in Q3, we should sell in the similar range, 190-200 Kt”
Satish Pai · Managing Director · Q&Ap. 15

In short

  1. 01Copper underlying quarterly EBITDA guided at about Rs 1,200-1,300 crore, led by sulfuric acid prices.
  2. 02Copper Q2 EBITDA of Rs 1,673 crore included about Rs 350-400 crore not seen as repeatable.
  3. 03Aluminium production cost seen up about 5% again in Q3, easing in Q4 as coal improves.
  4. 04Novelis long-term EBITDA per ton guidance of $600 kept; positive free cash flow targeted by end FY27.
  5. 05India capex about Rs 12,000-13,000 crore in FY27; next year substantially higher, figure due in February.
  6. 06Consolidated net debt to EBITDA to be kept around 2x; Novelis to reach about 4x in Q4.
  7. 07Aditya refinery and first 180 KT smelter line to commission in December 2027.
  8. 08Downstream aluminium EBITDA per ton expected to cross $300 as new products are qualified.

Capex

India: Capex this year around Rs 12,000 crore; next year substantially higher

Satish Pai · Managing Director · p. 11
“This year will be around INR12,000 crores. Next year will be substantially higher, which I'll give you the number with our February results when we have done our budgeting.”

India: India capex about Rs 6,000 crore in H1; Rs 12,000-13,000 crore expected for the year

Satish Pai · Managing Director · p. 15
“About INR6,000 crores. This year, I think our expectation is we would spend about INR12,000-13000 crores by the end of the year.”

Aluminium upstream: Upcoming smelter IRRs built on LME of about 2,600

Satish Pai · Managing Director · Q&A · p. 11
“I think we took about 2,600 we took.”

Coal mines: Bandha mine first coal expected in second half of next financial year

Satish Pai · Managing Director · Q&A · p. 9
“At Bandha, the first box cut has already happened. It is a high stripping ratio. First coal should start to come out towards the second half of the next financial year.”

Coal mines: Chakla mine coal expected by around the middle of next year

Satish Pai · Managing Director · Q&A · p. 9
“Chakla, we are expecting still that we will be getting coal by sometime middle of next year.”

Capacity

Copper: Copper recycling expansion from 50 KT to 150 KT planned; one new project every 1.5 years

Satish Pai · Managing Director · Q&A · p. 8
“And then, of course, we have downstream, further copper recycling expansion from 50 KT to 150 KT. It will be fair to say that every year and a half, we will be starting one more project.”

Aluminium downstream: Aditya FRP at 50% loading level

Satish Pai · Managing Director · Q&A · p. 17
“Aditya FRP is now at the 50% loading level.”

Aluminium downstream: Option to add 170 KT cold mill at Aditya on top of 600 KT

Satish Pai · Managing Director · Q&A · p. 14
“Look, in the downstream now, we still have the capability to add another cold mill in Aditya, by 170 KT. So on top of 600 KT, we can add 170KT of rolling capacity.”

Aluminium downstream: At 2 million tons aluminium, India downstream capacity would be about 1 million tons

Satish Pai · Managing Director · Q&A · p. 14
“If we get to two million tons of aluminium, we will get to about 1 million tons of downstream capacity in India.”

Renewable energy: Renewable portfolio set to reach 884 MW by FY27 exit, plus 125 MW RE-RTC

Satish Pai · Managing Director · p. 4
“By FY27 exit, our renewable energy portfolio is set to reach 884 megawatt. Complemented by 125 megawatt of RE-RTC capacity”

Segments

Copper: About 50% of copper EBITDA from copper, 50% from other; acid volume 300,000 tons a quarter

Satish Pai · Managing Director · Q&A · p. 9
“I think contribution, let's say that, it's like 50% comes from other stuff, 50% comes from copper, more or less. The volumes of sulfuric acid is around 300,000 tons a quarter.”

Copper: Roughly 40% to 50% of copper EBITDA from copper products

Satish Pai · Managing Director · Q&A · p. 15
“yeah, roughly 40% to 50% will come from copper products, the rest will come from sulfuric acid, precious metals, et cetera.”

Specialty alumina: Specialty alumina plan of about a million tons unchanged; white fused alumina launch soon

1​million tons
Satish Pai · Managing Director · Q&A · p. 18
“We are, of course, going to launch the white fused alumina project very soon. So, our plan to get to about a million tons of specialty alumina output is not changed.”

Copper: Copper EBITDA mix last quarter similar; varies with TC/RC levels

Satish Pai · Managing Director · p. 18
“Last quarter was at similar levels. I mean, you will have to go down to when TC/RCs were 15 – 17 cents per pound in the last year. So then the contribution from the copper side will go up.”

Demand

Novelis: Customer supply chains still weighing on Novelis shipments

Dev Ahuja · Chief Financial Officer · p. 10
“right now, we are still facing some impact of our customer supply chains not having normalized, which are putting some negative colour on shipments for the time being.”

Novelis: Novelis shipments expected to pick up from Q4 of this fiscal

Dev Ahuja · Chief Financial Officer · p. 10
“But that is in the course of normalization, and the shipments momentum based on the underlying markets should pick up pretty well starting from Q4 of this fiscal.”

Aluminium: MJP premium about 270 in Q3; expected at $200-$250 in Q4

Satish Pai · Managing Director · p. 10
“I think Q3 MJP is already about 270-ish. I think that we expect MJP to be in that $200-$250 range in Q4.”

Aluminium: LME Week consensus sees LME next year at $2,600-$2,800

Satish Pai · Managing Director · p. 11
“then the LME Week, the consensus was, in some ways, the LME next year could be between $2,600 and $2,800.”

Aluminium: Global aluminium deficit of around 0.8 million tons expected for calendar 2026

Satish Pai · Managing Director · p. 5
“Looking ahead, the global aluminium market is expected to remain in deficit through calendar year 2026. Current estimates point to a deficit of around 0.8 million tons, significantly higher than earlier expectations.”

Margins and costs

Aluminium: Q2 aluminium costs up about 5% over Q1, from coal and CP coke

Satish Pai · Managing Director · p. 9
“Q2 costs were up roughly 5% above Q1. The cost up was two main factors, coal and CP coke prices.”

Aluminium: Northern coal not yet stabilised, keeping costs up into Q3

Satish Pai · Managing Director · Q&A · p. 9
“We expect Q2 to Q3 to also be around that 5% because the northern area, the coal is still not stabilized.”

Copper: Sulfuric acid realisation about Rs 16,000 a ton vs about Rs 7,000 a year ago

Satish Pai · Managing Director · Q&A · p. 9
“See right now I think we are running at roughly INR16,000 a ton. Last year, at the same quarter, it was around INR7,000 a ton.”

Copper: Selling cathodes at current TC/RC would lose money, says management

Satish Pai · Managing Director · Q&A · p. 15
“That is why if I was selling cathodes, I would been losing money.”

Aluminium upstream: Upstream EBITDA per ton helped by export premiums and value-added products

Satish Pai · Managing Director · Q&A · p. 12
“We realized a higher net premium, one, because of the exports that we were doing, which went to high-premium countries, not MJP countries.”

Debt and working capital

Novelis: Novelis expected to return to positive free cash flow and start deleveraging by end FY27

Satish Pai · Managing Director · p. 7
“We are confident that the strength of the business supported by cost restructuring will drive a return to positive free cash flow and mark the beginning of our deleveraging journey by the end of FY27.”

Consolidated net debt to EBITDA at 1.80 times as of September 2026

Satish Pai · Managing Director · p. 7
“Importantly, we continue to maintain a strong balance sheet with consolidated net debt to EBITDA at 1.80 times as of September 2026”

India: India treasury of Rs 16,000 crore

Satish Pai · Managing Director · Q&A · p. 15
“INR16,000 crores. We are sitting with treasury of INR16,000 crores.”

India: India long-term loans about Rs 6,000-7,000 crore

Satish Pai · Managing Director · Q&A · p. 16
“Yes, because we have long-term loans of about INR6,000 crore-INR7,000 crore.”

India: India net debt to EBITDA at -0.35 times

Satish Pai · Managing Director · Q&A · p. 16
“That's only the India. That's why net debt to EBITDA is - 0.35 times in India.”

Acquisitions and new business

Specialty alumina: Seeking other partners and internal programme for tabular alumina after AluChem

Satish Pai · Managing Director · Q&A · p. 18
“So, A, we are out looking for other people who can help us fast-track that, and B, we have our internal program to develop tabular alumina.”

One-offs

Novelis: Yeongju strike cost $20 million in Q2; similar impact expected in Q3, then over

Dev Ahuja · Chief Financial Officer · p. 10
“On the Yeongju strike impact, we have told you that we have a $20 million impact in Q2, and you can broadly expect a similar impact in Q3, and after that, it is over.”

Novelis: Another $47 million of Novelis insurance recoveries expected in EBITDA by fiscal year end

Dev Ahuja · Chief Financial Officer · p. 10
“Now, insurance recoveries, you can expect that we have another $47 million of insurance recoveries that will fall into EBITDA, and that should pretty much be by this fiscal year end.”

Aluminium: Q2 pot relining figure included some catch-up from Q1

Satish Pai · Managing Director · p. 11
“In Q2, there was a little bit more additional catch-up of the Q1 as well, which is why the number was slightly higher.”

Copper: About Rs 350-400 crore of copper Q2 EBITDA not seen as repeatable

Satish Pai · Managing Director · Q&A · p. 12
“All that put together, there was about roughly INR350-INR400 crores, what we think is not on a sustainable basis repeatable.”

Copper: Copper one-offs came from slag sales, derivatives and extra precious metal sales

Satish Pai · Managing Director · Q&A · p. 12
“We had a certain amount of copper slag sales where our accruals and what we realized by selling was higher. There is a certain amount of derivative noise. There is a certain amount of precious metals extra sales.”

Risks

Novelis: Novelis tariff headwinds expected to fall to a marginal level by fourth quarter

Dev Ahuja · Chief Financial Officer · p. 10
“right now, we have some headwinds from tariffs, but we are working with a clear plan, and by fourth quarter, tariffs would come down to a fairly marginal level.”

Aluminium: Rest of FY27 aluminium hedged 29% at $3,000/t; currency 21% at Rs 93/$

Satish Pai · Managing Director · p. 6
“Our hedging position in aluminium for the rest of FY27 stands at around 29% on the commodity at $3,000 per ton and 21% in the currency at INR93 per dollar.”

Aluminium: FY28 aluminium about 26% hedged at $3,168

Satish Pai · Managing Director · p. 10
“If we now go into FY 2028, we are about 26% hedged at $3,168. That's our position.”

Copper: Copper concentrate tight, but long-term miner contracts secure supply

Satish Pai · Managing Director · p. 12
“But for people like us, we are now very comfortable because we have got large miners with which we have long-term contracts. So, we have no problem in getting the concentrate.”

Copper: Spot TC/RC negative at (-48) to (-58) cents per pound

Satish Pai · Managing Director · p. 6
“with spot TC/RC remaining at negative levels in the range of (-48) to (-58) cents per pound, and concentrate availability remaining constrained.”

Other

Aluminium: Pot relining capitalised: adds about Rs 130 crore to EBITDA and to depreciation

Satish Pai · Managing Director · p. 11
“The impact roughly adds about INR130 crores to the EBITDA line, and it adds INR130 crores to the depreciation line.”

Aluminium: Q2 was the first quarter with pot relining capitalised, lifting reported EBITDA

Satish Pai · Managing Director · Q&A · p. 13
“No, so you are right. It looks better because this is the first quarter we did it.”

Copper: Copper Q2 EBITDA a record Rs 1,673 crore, up 164% year-on-year

Satish Pai · Managing Director · p. 7
“Quarterly copper EBITDA reached a record INR1,673 crores, a significant 164% increase year-on-year, driven by strong operational performance, healthy domestic demand across segments despite elevated LME prices.”

Aluminium upstream: Upstream Q2 EBITDA Rs 7,009 crore, up 55%; EBITDA per ton $2,125

Satish Pai · Managing Director · p. 6
“quarterly EBITDA stood at INR7,009 crores, up 55% year-on-year, backed by favorable macros and our strong performance across the value chain. This delivered an EBITDA per ton of $2,125 this quarter.”

Royalty of $11 million paid quarterly until Rs 225 crore cap

Satish Pai · Managing Director · Q&A · p. 14
“Hindalco was also the same level, $11 million. Because we pay on a quarterly basis till we hit the cap of INR225 crores.”

Sources

Management's own statements, quoted from its NSE filings. This page was read by AI and can contain mistakes: check the source pages before relying on any figure. No forecast or opinion of ours. Not investment advice.

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